The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I show you how to save and invest. Yield curve inversion has historically predicted U.S. recessions with greater accuracy than ...

I last analyzed Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) stock on July 9th with an article titled "Annaly Vs. Rithm Capital: If You Really Want mREIT, Hold Rithm.” The analysis rated NLY as a Sell after ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

The slope of the U.S. yield curve has been among the best recession predictors historically, but after inverting in 2022, the country has not seen a recession yet. Now, the signal is testing the lows ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

My last analysis on AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was published on 7.17 under a title of "AGNC Investment: 2 Reasons To Bet Against Wall Street”. That article focused on the sentiment change from Wall ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...